Summaries by Mint Editorial Board

India's foreign exchange reserves are stable, largely due to strong diaspora remittances. Despite pressure from high crude prices and weak capital inflows on BoP, PM Modi urged residents to conserve forex, recommending less foreign travel or fuel use. India leads global remittances, but residents must also actively contribute. This combined effort, with diaspora support and resident actions, is vital for India's economic resilience.

Putin hints at ending the Russia-Ukraine war, but achieving peace is complex. Moscow, benefiting from divided NATO, boosted oil revenues, and China's support, might perceive itself as a victor dictating terms. Sanctions have largely failed to sway Moscow. Ending war demands clear justification for sacrifices, a dilemma also faced by Trump in West Asia. The article suggests all-out victories are outdated, making public perception crucial. Leaders must meticulously consider consequences before war, as even powerful aggressors can appear as losers, incurring significant costs.

India proposes an Index of Services Production (ISP) to address a major data gap in its dominant services sector, which contributes over 50% to GVA. While crucial for better economic analysis and policy, constructing an ISP faces significant challenges. These include the sector's heterogeneous nature, vast informal chunk, lack of consistent administrative data, and difficulties in choosing appropriate price deflators. Despite these hurdles, the author argues that even an imperfect ISP with patchy coverage would serve a valuable purpose as a directional indicator, providing essential insights and allowing for future refinement. Implementation is urged without waiting for perfection.

India is aggressively investing in chipmaking and AI infrastructure, with significant progress in design and plant construction. However, the global AI capital expenditure surge has uncertain materialization. While India's efforts could integrate it into global supply chains, the sector is capital-intensive and rapidly shifting. Current Indian fabs focus on automotive/telecom, not cutting-edge AI, requiring reliance on foreign tech. The author suggests a balanced strategy: pursue fabs alongside rapid chip adoption, strengthen digital infrastructure, augment energy, and import top-end chips, hedging against potential AI boom volatility.

Global investors prioritize AI-driven markets, significantly boosting Taiwan and South Korea’s market caps near India’s. This surge is fueled by demand for AI-related stocks, exposing India's lack of "AI plays." Though profits are possible without AI, global capital actively seeks AI-hot opportunities. India's weak share performance risks it being overtaken. The author suggests India might need to join the AI race to compete. This calls for an Indian strategy to address this shifting global investment focus, acknowledging market cap as an imperfect economic health metric.

India's eastern states, despite being resource-rich, have significantly underperformed economically. West Bengal, Assam, and Bihar exhibit substantial declines in per capita income and GDP share. This disparity stems from adverse business policies, land acquisition challenges, lack of growth hubs, and weak governance. The recent BJP victory in West Bengal, plus its alliances in Bihar and Odisha, presents a crucial opportunity. This political alignment could foster better business conditions, addressing India's uneven economic development. The shift might transform these states, mirroring past successes and highlighting governance's pivotal role.

India's auto market saw a robust April, with retail sales soaring 13% year-on-year to a record 2.6 million units. This broad-based growth was led by strong rural demand, surpassing urban areas. Two-wheelers, comprising the market's bulk, posted over 1.9 million sales, with 7.8% electric. Passenger vehicles reached over 407,000 units, including 5.8% electric and 8.3% hybrid. While no major corporate leadership changes are imminent, quicker EV adoption could inject more dynamism. Overall, the fiscal year has commenced positively for automobile sales, a heartening sign for the economic scenario.